By John Gruber
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Nicholas Kolakowski, reporting for eWeek on a “research note” by analyst Jack Gold:
Apple will lose its overwhelming dominance of the consumer tablet space within the next three years, according to a prediction from analyst Jack Gold.
His research note also predicts that Microsoft will own roughly 10 percent of the consumer tablet market by that 2014-2015 timeframe, beating out Research In Motion’s QNX operating system with less than 10 percent but losing out to iOS (30 percent) and Android (50 percent).
That’s the same Jack Gold who wrote the following regarding the iPhone in 2007:
Can it succeed? Frankly, and contrary to the reactions of Apple fans and the stock market, I am pretty skeptical. I don’t think this device will meet the fantastic predictions I have been reading. For starters, while Apple basically established the market for portable music players, the phone market is already established, with a number of major brands. Can Apple remake the phone market in its image? Success is far from guaranteed.
Why am I not impressed?
I don’t know, but I know why I’m not.
★ Wednesday, 2 November 2011