But it seems fair to say that, if Trump loses the election, it
will be because women voted against him. I took a look at how men
and women split their votes four years ago, according to polls
conducted in November 2012. On average, Mitt Romney led President
Obama by 7 percentage points among men, about the same as Trump’s
5-point lead among men now. But Romney held his own among women,
losing them by 8 points, whereas they’re going against Trump by
That’s the difference between a close election — as you’ll
remember, those national polls in late 2012 showed the race
neck-and-neck — and one that’s starting to look like a blowout.
Includes rather stark maps showing what the Electoral College would be like if only women voted (massive Clinton landslide) or if only men voted (solid win for Trump).